Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia on Tuesday said if India continued to grow at around 8 per cent annually for the next 15 years, the country’s poverty levels would fall to as low as 6 per cent of the population.
Delivering the Sardar Patel Memorial Lecture titled ‘India 2020: A New Tryst with Destiny’, Singh said over the years, India’s poverty levels have slided drastically from the mid-70s and have shown a reduction of about a percentage point a year since the late 1980s.
However, it is still at a high level of 28 per cent as seen in 2000. In order to reduce this further, Ahluwalia said, ‘‘I am convinced that if we can accelerate growth to 8 per cent, there is a very good chance that the percentage of poverty will go down to around 6 per cent’’.
On the country’s potential to sustain this growth, Ahluwalia compared India’s performace with that of China and said, ‘‘The economy is now ready to transit from a phase of moderate growth to a new high growth stage where we achieve an average growth rate of about 8 per cent over the next 15 years’’.
India’s growth rate for the past few years averages above 6 per cent, making it the second-fastest growing developing country after China.
With an 8 per cent, he said, ‘‘The kind of severe poverty we see in so many parts of the country today will be a thing of the past.’’ ‘‘Poverty in India as a whole would be reduced to the level that it is now in Punjab.’’
However, for this growth level in the next decade and a half, Ahluwalia said emphasis needed to be paid to increasing the agricultural sector growth. ‘‘Faster agricultural growth must be combined with efforts to accelerate non-agricultural growth to achieve the target growth rate of 8 per cent for the economy as a whole.’’ He stressed on the need to improve infrastructure facilities.