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This is an archive article published on May 15, 2004

Exit Error

Sahara TV-DRS G.V.L. Narasimha Rao: Exit poll prediction: BJP+ - 263, Congress+ - 181 and Others 88 We erred on three counts: We did not tak...

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Sahara TV-DRS

G.V.L. Narasimha Rao: Exit poll prediction: BJP+ – 263, Congress+ – 181 and Others 88

We erred on three counts: We did not take into account silent voters who wanted to vote for the Congress. Secondly, the Muslim fury against the BJP went unaccounted for. Thirdly, the protests from the underprivileged were also unnoticed.

Zee-Taleem

Binod C. Aggarwal: Exit poll: BJP+ – 267, Congress+ – 187, Others 89

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We indicated a hung Parliament and got the numbers of the two major parties in reverse. We went off the mark in predicting the number of seats for the Congress. We will have to look at larger samples in the future for such polls and see that the sample is randomly distributed.

The Indian Express-NDTV (groundwork by A.C. Nielsen)

Dorab Sopariwala: Exit poll: BJP+ -230-250, Congress+ 190-205, Others 60-70

We will shortly analyse the results. The analysis will be based mainly on the status of sampling. Caste breakups and other factors were not evident because of time constraint. In days to come, we will attempt stock-taking of our predictions.

—(Compiled by ENS)

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