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This is an archive article published on October 30, 2006

Selective, not broadbased

The big picture says share prices are up and running, but the fine print shows that not all segments, sectors or stocks have hit their highs

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The big picture says share prices are up and running, but the fine print shows that not all segments, sectors or stocks have hit their highs — in fact, a fair number have been mere bystanders. In this rally, a pertinent short-term point of reference is May 10, when the Sensex hit its then all-time high of 12,612, before melting down to 8,929 by June 14.

Between May 10 and yesterday, the Sensex, has risen 3.3 per cent. However, during the same period, both the BSE Mid-Cap and the BSE Small-Cap indices have declined 10.1 per cent 17.0 per cent, respectively. Even for calendar 2006, these two middle-rung indices trail the broad market by a long way.

Selectivity is the theme among sectors too. Of the 11 sectoral indices maintained by the BSE, only three have gained, and quite impressively at that — Information Technology (up 17.4 per cent), Teck (17.3 per cent) and Bankex (12.2 per cent). The other eight have lost ground, with the worst being Metal (down 19.1 per cent) and Consumer Durables (13 per cent). Metals is a reversal of fortunes story — the BSE Metal index gained 72 per cent in calendar 2006 till May 10, but since then has retracted almost 20 per cent.

Even among the 30 Sensex stocks, only 11 have bettered the index during this five-and-a-half month swing. IT, telecom and banking dominate the set of Sensex leaders, with the best being Infosys (up 30.5 per cent) and Bharti (30.3 per cent); Tata Steel, bearing the brunt of the metals meltdown, brings the rear with a loss of 25.4 per cent. Even for the calendar year, only 13 of the 29 Sensex stocks (Reliance Communication came into the index later) have beaten the Sensex. Clearly, this rally has been selective.

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