Premium
This is an archive article published on January 3, 2011

Current account deficit at historic high a concern: Goldman

During Sept quarter CAD accelerated to a historic high of 4.1 per cent of GDP,Goldman Sachs said.

Global financial powerhouse Goldman Sachs said the high current account deficit at USD 15.8 billion remains the biggest risk to India’s growth story.

India’s current account deficit (CAD),representing net flow of income out of the country barring capital movements,surged 72 per cent to USD 15.8 billion in the July-September quarter over the same period last year.

“The high deficit number supports our view that rising current account deficit being financed by short term capital flows remains the biggest risk to India’s growth story,” Goldman Sachs said in a research note.

Story continues below this ad

During the September quarter the CAD accelerated to a historic high of 4.1 per cent of GDP,higher than 3.2 per cent of GDP in the previous quarter,Goldman Sachs said.

“In the past decade,the only other quarter in which the current account deficit has been so high is during the crisis quarter of September 2008,” the research note said.

Capital inflows remained robust during the second quarter due to higher external commercial borrowings (ECBs) by India Inc and external assistance in the July-September period.

India received USD 18.8 billion of foreign institutional investment on net basis in July-September,against USD 7.0 billion in the year-ago period.

Story continues below this ad

The net outflow of money on current account was,however,more than offset by inflow on capital account,despite moderation in FDI.

Higher capital inflows were due to higher investment in capital markets by foreign funds,external commercial borrowings by India Inc and external assistance,the data showed.

However,foreign direct investment fell to USD 2.5 billion during July-September from USD 7.5 billion in the year-ago period.

Latest Comment
Post Comment
Read Comments
Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement