JPMorgan believes that India’s benchmark index will consolidate in the near term in the range of 15,800-17,200 in the base case scenario,before moving higher.
However,over the next 2 quarters Indian equities may enjoy a broad range of 14,800-18,900 through March 2012.
Given the current level of macro stress,we expect Indian equities to trade at about 12-14 (times) forward earnings multiple,said JPMorgan in a note released on October 10. Adds,valuation models suggest that returns of about 15 (percent) are possible by fiscal year end.
The necessary condition for the market to find a base would be an end to monetary tightening,added the bank.
The bank is overweight on financial,healthcare,telecom and industrial stocks and underweight on consumer discretionary,utilities and materials.


