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This is an archive article published on October 11, 2011

‘Sensex to consolidate in near term’

The condition for market to find a base would be an end to monetary tightening,says JPMorgan.

JPMorgan believes that India’s benchmark index will consolidate in the near term in the range of 15,800-17,200 in the base case scenario,before moving higher.

However,over the next 2 quarters Indian equities may enjoy a broad range of 14,800-18,900 through March 2012.

Given the current level of macro stress,we expect Indian equities to trade at about 12-14 (times) forward earnings multiple,said JPMorgan in a note released on October 10. Adds,valuation models suggest that returns of about 15 (percent) are possible by fiscal year end.

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The necessary condition for the market to find a base would be an end to monetary tightening,added the bank.

The bank is overweight on financial,healthcare,telecom and industrial stocks and underweight on consumer discretionary,utilities and materials.

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