Opinion C Raja Mohan writes: In India, needed, a crypto strategy

The viability of these plans remains uncertain, given the parlous state of Pakistan’s economy. But India should pay close attention to Pakistan’s crypto ambitions — especially amid the possible misuse of these digital currencies not controlled by any central bank to fund terror and launder money across borders. Far more consequential, however, is the potential transformation of the global financial order triggered by the Trump administration’s new crypto policy. Cryptocurrencies, once dismissed as a financial fad, have now become disruptive instruments in global finance. Their decentralised architecture, rapid innovation, and increasing adoption are reshaping monetary policy, regulatory frameworks, and cross-border economic flows.

In his second term, Trump has moved swiftly to reposition the US as a global leader in digital assets. During his campaign, Trump reversed his earlier scepticism of crypto and promised to dismantle the Biden-era hostility toward the sector. The crypto industry, sensing a huge opportunity, rallied behind him. Within days of assuming office, Trump issued two executive orders that reshaped America’s crypto strategy. The first order codified a national blockchain innovation strategy, curtailed regulatory overreach, and banned the development of a central bank digital currency (CBDC). It also formed the President’s Working Group on Digital Asset Markets, chaired by the White House’s “AI and crypto czar”, David Sacks, to design a new regulatory framework within six months.

The second order created a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve and a US Digital Asset Stockpile to consolidate government-seized crypto assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana. This initiative aimed to turn digital assets into national reserves akin to gold, without tapping into taxpayer funds. In supporting lawful, dollar-backed stablecoins while explicitly banning CBDCs, Trump seeks to ensure sustained dominance of the US dollar in the international system.

Trump’s appointments — including pro-crypto figures like Elon Musk and Sacks — signal a major shift in Washington. The Securities and Exchange Commission paused its lawsuits against major exchanges like Coinbase and Binance, while the Justice Department dissolved its crypto enforcement team. Markets responded with enthusiasm: Bitcoin surged past $74,000 in March 2025 and is valued this week at more than $100,000.

Adding a personal twist to his crypto strategy, Trump also launched a meme coin —$TRUMP— turning himself into a direct stakeholder in the crypto surge. Meanwhile, WLFI is reaching out to many countries, including Pakistan, for deals on crypto. Until recently, Pakistan showed little interest in cryptocurrencies, having banned or restricted them like India. But that has changed dramatically. In early 2025, the government appointed a young British Pakistani entrepreneur Bilal bin Saqib to lead the Pakistan Crypto Council. This week, Saqib was appointed special adviser to Pakistan’s Prime Minister and tasked with creating a regulatory framework to promote crypto adoption. Estimates suggest Pakistan may have up to 25 million crypto users and a market worth $2 billion.

Even with a stagnant economy, an underdeveloped financial sector, and limited technological capabilities, Pakistan appears determined to carve out a niche in the emerging crypto world. The strategy includes cultivating its diaspora in the US, particularly tech entrepreneurs who now serve as a conduit to the Trump administration. At a recent diaspora convention — Pakistan’s first, modelled after India’s Pravasi Bharatiya Divas — Munir reaffirmed the ideological foundations of Pakistan’s statehood and signalled a reassertion of influence abroad.
While the Indian diaspora’s tech influence is well known, Pakistan’s diaspora is now making moves of its own — leveraging crypto to rekindle Pakistan’s ties with the US, which had frayed under both the Trump and Biden administrations. India should not dismiss these developments as inconsequential. In the 1970s, Delhi underestimated Pakistan’s nuclear ambitions, assuming it lacked the scientific and technological base.

By the late 1980s, Pakistan had developed nuclear weapons and leveraged them to create a challenging security environment for India. More urgently, India needs to reflect on its own crypto strategy — or the lack of it. There has been little public discourse on the geopolitical and technological implications of crypto. This lack of government engagement contrasts with the growing number of crypto users in India, estimated to be more than 100 million, and a market size of nearly $7 billion.

Earlier this month, the Supreme Court stepped into this breach. In hearing the bail petition of Shailesh Bhatt, a Gujarat resident accused of cryptocurrency fraud, the Court remarked on the Centre’s paradoxical policy of taxing crypto assets without developing a regulatory framework. It warned that the legal and policy vacuum on cryptocurrencies would create serious challenges to India’s economy and security. India no longer has the luxury of ignoring the changing regional and global crypto landscape. Delhi needs to come to terms with Pakistan’s new digital pivot and Trump’s plans to refashion the global financial order with crypto and related technologies.

(The writer is a distinguished fellow at the Council on Strategic and Defence Research and a contributing editor on international affairs for The Indian Express)